The Fiber Year 2012
Transkript
The Fiber Year 2012
Issue 12, May 2012 The Fiber Year 2012 World Survey on Textiles & Nonwovens supported by Table of contents Page 1. Foreword and Summary…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 1 1.1 Foreword………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 1 1.2 Summary………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 3 1.3 List of Sources…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 4 1.4 Contributions from Industry Experts………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 5 2. World Economy from the Perspective of Textiles and Apparel.………………………………………………………………………….. 6 3. Upstream Feedstock Industry…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 7 3.1 Cotton Cultivation……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 7 3.2 Sheep Farming…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 14 3.3 Dissolving Pulp 2005 - 2015…..………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 17 3.4 Petrochemicals…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 20 3.4.1 Paraxylene (PX) 2005 - 2015……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 22 3.4.2 Purified Therephthalic Acid (PTA) 2005 - 2015…………………………..…………………………………………………………………………………… 23 3.4.3 Dimethyl Terephthalate (DMT) 2005 - 2015………...…………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 24 3.4.4 Mono Ethylene Glycol (MEG) 2005 - 2015………..…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 25 3.4.5 Caprolactam (CPL) 2005 - 2015………...………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………... 26 3.4.6 Summary and Outlook on Raw Material Availability……………………………………………………………………………………………………. 26 4. Staple Fibers………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 28 4.1 Natural Fibers ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 29 4.1.1 Cotton……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 30 4.1.2 Wool………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 32 4.1.3 Other Fibers………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 33 4.2 Cellulosic Fibers………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 45 4.2.1 Viscose Fibers…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 45 4.2.2 Acetate Tow……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 48 4.3 Synthetic Staple Fibers….………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 49 4.3.1 Polyester Staple Fibers…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 51 4.3.2 Acrylic Staple Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 53 4.3.3 Polypropylene Staple Fibers………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 54 4.3.4 Polyamide Staple Fibers……….………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 54 5. Filament Yarns………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 55 5.1 Polyester Filament………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 55 5.1.1 Polyester Textile and Carpet Yarn…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 56 5.1.2 Polyester Industrial Yarn………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 58 5.2 Polyamide Filament.……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 61 5.2.1 Polyamide Textile and Carpet Yarn…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 62 5.2.2 Polyamide Industrial Yarn…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 63 5.3 Polypropylene Filament.……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 65 5.4 Cellulosic Filament.…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 66 6. Other Manmade Fibers…….…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 68 6.1 Carbon Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 68 6.2 Aramid Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 72 6.3 Spandex Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 72 7. World Fiber Market 2011….…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 75 7.1 Summary on World Fibers and Yarns…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 75 7.2 Filament and Spun Yarn……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 78 7.3 Conclusions from Feedstocks to Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 79 8. Nonwovens and Unspun Applications………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 84 8.1 Spunbond………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 86 8.2 Carded…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 87 8.3 Airlaid……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 88 8.4 Wetlaid…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 88 9. Textile and Clothing Trade 2011……………….…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 89 9.1 PR China…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 90 9.2 India………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 93 9.3 Bangladesh……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 95 9.4 Turkey…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 96 9.5 Pakistan………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 98 9.6 Taiwan……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 99 9.7 Indonesia………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 100 9.8 Thailand…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 101 9.9 Vietnam…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 102 9.10 South Korea…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 103 9.11 Sri Lanka………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 105 9.12 Cambodia………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 106 9.13 Peru…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 107 9.14 Mexico……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 108 9.15 Brazil………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…….. 109 9.16 Switzerland…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 111 9.17 Russia……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 113 9.18 Japan……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 114 9.19 European Union………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 115 9.20 United States……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 118 10. Statistical Appendix………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 120 10.1 World Fiber Market…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 121 10.2 World Fiber Use………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 122 10.3 Natural Fibers Consumption………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 123 10.4 Cotton Production and Use…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 124 10.5 Staple Fibers Consumption……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 125 10.6 Production of Manmade Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 126 10.7 Production of Synthetic Fibers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 127 10.8 Production of Cellulosic Fibers…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 128 10.9 Major Fiber Types' Market Share………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 129 10.10 Staple Fiber Competition……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 130 10.11 Production of Manmade Fibers by Country……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 131 10.12 Production of Manmade Fibers by Material…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 132 10.13 Top 3 Producing Countries…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 133 10.14 Manmade Fiber Industry 2011/10 - Polyester Fibers and Polyamide Filament Yarn……….………………………………… 134 10.15 Manmade Fiber Industry 2011/10 - Staple Fibers of Acrylic, Polyamide and Cellulosic………………………………….. 135 10.16 Global Yarn Production…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 136 10.17 Dynamics in Yarn Production………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 136 10.18 Fiber Types in Spun Yarn Production………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 136 10.19 Major Textile & Clothing Trading Countries……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 137 10.20 Major Exporters in Textiles & Clothing……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 138 10.21 Major Importers in Textiles & Clothing…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 139 Foreword and Summary Andreas W. Engelhardt General Manager The Fiber Year GmbH Speicher, Switzerland www.thefiberyear.com Dear Readers, It is my great pleasure to announce that the textile yearbook I do hope this piece of information will be useful to conduct will be supported by the Lenzing Group as from now to en- your business. This survey hopefully makes a contribution to sure the continuation of this traditional and well-established the transparency of global industry trends, individual market report. All market data are the result of the independent segments and fiber competition. research by The Fiber Year GmbH. Although Lenzing supports the Report the statements and conclusions in the re- At this point I would like to express my gratitude to all who port do not necessarily reflect the assessment of the Lenzing have made a valuable contribution by providing an article, Group. supporting me in data collection and exchanging views on the industry. The basic idea of reporting annual production figures traces back more than fifty years to Vereinigte Glanzstoff-Fabriken Enjoy reading and please let me know your comments. I very AG, the former world market leader in manmade fibers. It much appreciate your suggestions to further improve quality was Dr. E. H. Vits, chairman of the board from 1940 to 1969, of this survey. If you feel additional market segments should who used to inform at press conferences about the status of be included do not hesitate to share your view with us. the international manmade fiber industry. On the occasion of a presentation on February 8, 1966 he expressed that this industry would enjoy dynamic growth in the years to come. Yours sincerely, A truly appropriate evaluation when manmade fiber output was 5.5 million tonnes back then. In the meantime the scope of market segments being integrated into this report was significantly enlarged. This was due to the range of textile machines of Saurer where I initiated this service more than ten years ago. A continuous upgrading is scheduled in particular in the direction of sustainable, eco-friendly, recycled and bio-based fiber material. 1 supported by Dr. Peter Untersperger Chief Executive Officer Lenzing AG Lenzing, Austria www.lenzing.com Dear Readers! The “Fiber Year” is being published this year for the first time In reality, a series of macroeconomic distortions led to under the patronage of Lenzing AG. It is a great pleasure for uncertainties on the marketplace. In turn, this triggered a us as the global market leader for man-made cellulose fibers cautious approach among many market participants and to support the regular publication of one of the most im- along the value chain, which subsequently resulted in a more portant reference works for the fiber industry. Even if we at restrained purchasing behavior and price decreases. I am the Lenzing Group successfully supply the entire global fiber convinced that an upturn will come on the heels of this market, it is essential for all of us in the industry to gain a downturn. Fibers for textiles and nonwoven applications are precise knowledge about this market in all its facets. With a continually expanding part of our modern life. “The Fiber Year” we have an objective and reliable source of information at our disposal. This makes it even more important to analyze market volatilities as precisely as possible. Every market participant should The objective of “The Fiber Year” is to show the major mar- be able to draw his own conclusions that are right for him. In ket trends, but also to ensure that a relevant level of detail is this respect, “The Fiber Year” with its excellent data has provided on the basis of precise data collection. This goal become an important decision-making basis for the fiber was once again fulfilled by the new issue of the publication industry. With this in mind, I wish all readers an informative for the year 2011. and enjoyable read and a successful fiber year in 2012. The year 2011 was characterized by extensive market volatility. Rarely have we seen so many rapid changes in prevailing market conditions in recent years as we encountered in 2011. Yours sincerely, Whereas the first half-year featured a very good fiber business, the second half was impacted by a perceptible slowdown which became evident in a relatively short time. In my opinion, this downswing was not attributable to the inability to generate sufficient fiber sales any longer. On the contrary, from Lenzing AG’s perspective, volume demand was very positive throughout the entire year. 2 supported by Summary The production volume in the world textile industry in 2011 The logical consequence was an enlarged supply. Competing rose by 6.4% to 85.9 million tonnes. This includes increases in fibers‘ prices were out of sync, thus, benefiting from relative all segments. Natural fibers were up by 7.1% to 33.2 million advantages to cotton. This has mainly favored polyester and tonnes and manmade fibers went up by 6.0% to 52.7 million cellulosic fibers. The both fibers enjoyed growth rates in the tonnes. range of 7%. In other words, high cotton prices have further fueled replacement. It is a matter of common knowledge that natural fiber production is not precisely projectable due to climatic changes, This enthusiastic sentiment of rising cotton prices had also an insect attacks and other natural conditions. Thus, a more re- impact on machinery investments. Last year‘s installations of liable figure seems to be the annual usage of fibers. As global short-staple spindles marked a new ten-year high, almost cotton stocks have been traced by international organiza- double the level of 2009. Growth rates in rotor and long- tions like ICAC consumption figures for cotton are included staple spindles were even higher. While investments in rotor in a world-fiber-use figure. This data delivers a more accurate spinning almost achieved the pre-crisis level, expansion of indication for further processing volumes. long-staple spindles stayed well below the ten-year average. Referring to this approach, last year‘s use of fibers amounted The manmade fibers segment has witnessed considerable exto 82.0 million tonnes, up by 2.4%. Apart from the crisis year pansions in polyester spinning and texturing, nylon filament 2008, it was the slowest growth rate in ten years. in particular in PR China and viscose staple fiber. Talks with industry experts confirm that the propensity to invest seems The first indication released in the preview beginning of the to be more sustainable than in cotton spinning. year was lower for two reasons. This detailed report refers to downwardly revised production data for the year 2010 The comprehensive view from feedstocks to the spinning inand, secondly, some Asian output for the fourth quarter tur- dustry has come to the result that the polyester industry ned out to be better than expected. To a certain extent, gro- may face some pricing pressure as a consequence of tighte- wing stocks of manmade fibers may have lifted this volume. ning supply in some petrochemical sectors. The market size of 82.0 million tonnes corresponds to an Fiber prices and textile products in general will be subject to average per capita consumption of 11.8 kg. Last year‘s growth appreciation. This follows from a sharp drop in next season‘s rate does not come up to the long-term growth rate of 2.7% cotton production while the consumption is expected to since 1970 or the short-term average annual growth of 3.3% recover. Further speculation is added by the Indian export since the year 2000. The recent acceleration of fiber demand policy and China‘s increasing national reserve. Additionally, a reflects the impact of rapidly rising disposable incomes in number of rises in minimum wages and high inflation will lift populous nations like the BRIC-countries. world retail prices. The world slowdown in textile demand was result of the eco- A rising oil price, concern for the entire synthetic fiber indusnomical uncertainties and sluggish demand from major deve- try, is rather fueling growth of carbon fibers. Major carbon loped nations. Therefore, export activities of several major fiber applications do have a positive correlation between countries have worsened in the second half of the year. crude oil price and consumption like in aircraft, wind energy, automotive. Hence, production reached a new peak level. A From a fiber type‘s view the main topic was the sensational number of joint ventures and new manufacturing sites will upswing in cotton prices, starting in August 2010 and coming stimulate the market. At present small in size, the automoti- to an abrupt end a year later. This unprecedented price in- ve sector may have the biggest potential to tremendously crease has encouraged farmers to expand cotton cultivation. lift carbon fiber demand in the next decade. 3 supported by Contributions from Industry Experts: Peter Ackroyd Dr. Wilhelm Rauch President Managing Director IWTO IVC Brussels, Belgium Frankfurt/Main , Germany www.iwto.org www.ivc-ev.de Michael Carus Katharina Schaus Managing Director Managing Director EIHA it fits Huerth, Germany Constance, Germany www.eiha.org www.itfits.de Anke Domaske Dr. Christian Schindler CEO Director General Qmilch GmbH ITMF Hanover, Germany Zurich, Switzerland www.qmilk.eu www.itmf.org Hans-Peter Egler Jens Soth Head of Trade Promotion SECO HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation Bern, Switzerland Zurich, Switzerland www.seco-cooperation.admin.ch www.helvetas.org Andreas Eule Wang Tiankai CEO President CORDENKA GmbH CNTAC Obernburg, Germany Beijing, China www.cordenka.com http://english.ctei.gov.cn Uday Gill Friedrich Weninger President Polyester Business COO Indorama Ventures Limited Lenzing AG Jakarta, Indonesia Lenzing, Austria www.indorama.net www.lenzing.com Dr. Alejandro Plastina Economist ICAC Washington DC, United States www.icac.org 4 supported by
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